CMB International: Upgraded the target price of WuXi Bio to HK$ 22.88, optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. CMB International published a report, predicting that the US Biosafety Act will fail with high probability, which will help WuXi Bio to achieve continuous performance growth in a relatively stable business environment. With the recovery of global biomedical financing, we are optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. According to the report, the NDAA in FY 2025 does not include the Biosafety Act, and the legislation of the Biosafety Act failed with high probability. On December 7, the US Senate and the House Armed Services Committee announced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2025, which was finally negotiated by the committees of the two houses. The Biosafety Act was not included in the amendment of NDAA in FY 2025, which means that the Biosafety Act failed to pass the legislative path of joining NDAA. The Biosafety Act can still promote separate legislation, but considering that the window of the current US Congress session is less than two weeks, the Bank believes that the success rate of separate legislation is extremely low. CMB International maintained the "Buy" rating of Yaoming Bio, and its target price rose from HK$ 13.58 to HK$ 22.88. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by 7.1%/12.4%/ 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, and its adjusted net profit will increase by 0.8%/11.1%/13.4% respectively.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.Guangzhou Metro won the Asian Games Avenue plot in Panyu District, Guangzhou with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the website of Guangzhou Public Resource Trading Center, on December 13th, Guangzhou Metro Group Co., Ltd. won the Asian Games Avenue plot BD0210116 in Panyu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the transfer documents, the plot is planned to be a second-class residential land, a primary and secondary school land and a commercial land compatible with roads and transportation facilities; The parcel area is 99,936.54 square meters, of which the leased parcel area is 85,151.63 square meters, and the calculated floor area ratio is 118,396 square meters.
Thailand's finance minister said that Thailand is expected to levy the lowest corporate tax in the world from January 2025.Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 0.4% to 8,296 points.South Korea's South Gyeonggi Police Department was detained and searched. The South Korean police responsible for investigating the martial law storm said on the 13th that it was detaining and searching the South Gyeonggi Police Department. According to Yonhap News Agency and other media reports, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department sent investigators to the South Gyeonggi Police Department on the same day to detain and search the director's office and obtain computer and business information. The report said that after the martial law was announced on the evening of the 3rd, the southern police department of Gyeonggi deployed police to the building of the Central Election Management Committee in Guochuan City, Gyeonggi Province and the election training institute in Suwon City, Gyeonggi Province.
CICC: The personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country to help the long-term development of the insurance industry. CICC published a research report that the personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country. The bank believes that as one of the important allocation directions of personal pension, various promotion policies will help the long-term development of the insurance industry. Although the average scale of personal pension is small compared with other savings insurance, it can still obtain stable long-term funds and high-quality new customers if it is properly operated. Zhongjin pointed out that in the early stage, the insurance industry may need to establish close ties with powerful sales channels or explore the characteristic mode of self-owned agent channel sales. In the long run, it is necessary to strengthen its own asset management capabilities and explore special services such as health care, which may help build core competitiveness.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.The concept of Tik Tok continued to strengthen, with the daily limit of Bee Assistant, City Xiangjiang and Ruoyu Chen, and the daily limit of Gravitational Media trying to seal it back, and the technology of moistening and worth buying went up.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14